BOX OFFICE REPORT
November 2-4, 2018
(estimates from BoxOfficeMojo.com)
|Bohemian Rhapsody||$50.0 million|
|The Nutcracker and
the Four Realms
|Nobody's Fool||$14.0 million|
|A Star Is Born||$11.1 million|
Last week I wasn't just off in my predictions, I was way off. Audiences really were hungry for a largely fictional story about Queen's rise to fame and their legendary performance at Live Aid. Despite mostly negative reviews overall, Bohemian Rhapsody had a massive $50 million debut. That's the second-biggest opening for a movie about a musician, behind Straight Outta Compton's $60 million back in 2015. Though it will face serious competition throughout the holiday season, it could easily be No. 2 on that all-time list.
Disney whiffed with their first big movie of the holiday season. The Nutcracker again proved that it doesn't translate well to film. The big spectacle got terrible reviews, and one of Disney's lowest openings, below even their Christopher Robin and Pete's Dragon remakes. It didn't do much better internationally either. It will go down as a pretty big flop, but don't be surprised if it picks up some Oscar nominations for its impressive technical achievements.
You'd think the combination of Tyler Perry and Tiffany Haddish would be too much to resist. Instead, it's one of the worst debuts of Perry's career, in between his poorly received Good Deeds and Daddy's Little Girls. A Star Is Born fell just 26 percent, moving out of second place. It's now made $165 million and might find itself in the top 10 before the month is over. Halloween dropped all the way to fifth. Its run may not be quite over since there are no true horror movies until after Thanksgiving. Though it still may face some competition from two thrillers opening next week.
Outside the top 5:
- This Weekend's Indie Champ: Boy Erased, the gay conversion survivor story starring Joel Edgerton. The drama averaged $44,000 on each of its five screens.
- Amazon Studios' two big awards contenders only had modest expansions: Beautiful Boy, the drug addiction drama starring Call Me by Your Name's Timothée Chalamet only made $1.4 million playing on 500 screens. Meanwhile, Suspiria, the horror remake from Call Me by Your Name director Luca Guadagnino, made just $964,000 on its 311 screens.
- Mid90s took a big hit in its second week of wide release. Still on more than 1,000 screens, Jonah Hill's directorial debut dropped to 14th place.
Somehow we're getting our second Christmas movie and it's only the second week of November. The Grinch is one of two huge animated films opening this month. There's been a non-stop advertising onslaught, not just for the film itself, but for tie-ins from everything from IHOP to 23andMe. But the big question is: Do kids today care about the Grinch? Sure, the original TV special will remain a classic for all time, but Jim Carrey's live-action take is widely reviled, despite being the biggest movie of 2000. Will kids and their parents want another go-round, even if it hails from Illumination, which made $1 billion with three characters who only speak in gibberish? Probably, but I'm going to hedge my bets again and predict just $60 million, which is closer to the original Despicable Me. The Girl in the Spider's Web will be lucky to crack $15 million, while Overlord may not even break $10 million.